we had the cease fire now announced between israel and hamas. if there isn't peace in washington on avoiding a fiscal cliff, will these gains go away in a hurry? >> joining us now, rich bernstein, cnbc contributor, anthony chan, and our own bob posani. bob, so far we've seen, what, trade on two things, right? the middle east and fiscal cliff this week. make sense of it. >> right now this week shows we're up 2% right across the board. we're in the honeymoon period between congress and wall street about fiscal cliff. they think a deal can be done. most of the traders feel we've got until about the week of december 10th to show progress. after that, markets will start turning south. congress holds the keys to a good part of the gdp next year. if we get a decent deal on the fiscal cliff, a moderate agreement, we'll be at 2, 2.5% gdp growth. if we go over the fiscal cliff, we go probably 0% gdp growth and i'm sure that earnings will go negative. think about it. >> i think there's no question that if the federal reserve can't sort of make the economy